Our football betting expert Jones Knows offers his insight across the weekend Premier League card, tipping up a 12/1 treble.
When you talk about Crystal Palace, one name immediately jumps off the page when it comes to a likely goalscorer - Ismaila Sarr. He's Palace's main man, a constant threat in behind, and remarkably composed when he finds himself in front of goal.
Sarr has been in fine form recently, scoring five times in his last nine appearances, including a brace in the impressive win at Tottenham. His pace and movement make him very difficult to defend one-on-one, and he's rarely flustered when he gets a clear sight of goal.
What makes the 13/5 Sky Bet price for him to score look particularly appealing is something that doesn't get fully factored in - he's Palace's penalty taker. That's a huge edge, especially when you look at the referee for this one.
Thomas Bramall has a very generous record in awarding penalties, handing out seven in his last 15 games, including one in the reverse fixture between these sides (which Leeds won 4-1). That adds another route to the net for Sarr beyond his usual attacking instincts.
The clean sheet angle for Manchester United looks very appealing.
Michael Carrick knows exactly what he's dealing with in Morgan Rogers - he signed him at Middlesbrough and will have a clear plan to nullify his threat. And right now, that's the key to stopping Aston Villa.
Villa's attack has been toothless of late. They've managed just five goals in their last seven Premier League games and there's a sense their attacking ideas have gone stale. With Carrick's team likely to dominate possession and implement a disciplined defensive structure, Villa will struggle to find openings.
Stop Rogers, frustrate the other Villa attackers and you've got a scenario that heavily favours a Manchester United win to nil at 9/4 with Sky Bet. It's a way to back United's strengths against an out-of-form side that has lacked creativity in the final third.
Under Sean Dyche, Elliot Anderson often looked restricted, his creativity curtailed by a rigid system. His development was stagnating. But Vitor Pereira has handed him the freedom to express himself from midfield, and it's paying off. The young midfielder is taking shots, making late runs into the box and generally being far more influential in attack.
The numbers underline that shift. Anderson has had eight shots in his last three Premier League appearances, and that includes a brilliant finish against Manchester City, showing he's capable of producing quality when given the license to roam.
Anderson to score at 4/1 with Sky Bet looks very attractive.
When a team finds itself under pressure, there's a predictable knock-on effect of rash decisions, mistimed tackles, and that yields cards. That's exactly where Tottenham find themselves right now.
Spurs are leading the Premier League for yellow cards this season, with 74 so far - that's 2.62 per game. And if you look at red cards, only Chelsea have been dismissed more often than Tottenham, who have already racked up four reds.
The trend is crystal clear. Tottenham have been shown two or more cards in each of their last eight games across all competitions, including a spectacular five-card haul against Atletico Madrid on Wednesday. That kind of disciplinary record perfectly highlights the kind of issues plaguing this team and the pressure isn't going away when they visit a high-intensity opponent like Liverpool.
All this points to Tottenham to be shown over 2.5 cards at 6/4 with Sky Bet rating as a cracking wager.
The midfield battle could get spicy.
Brentford tend to rely on a lot of physical work in the middle of the pitch to disrupt opponents and one player who regularly finds himself walking that disciplinary tightrope is Yehor Yarmoliuk. Brentford's midfield enforcer has been carded in five of his last nine starts, which tells you he's not afraid to put his foot in when games get scrappy.
Wolves have a real handful in wide and central areas with Mateus Mane, whose direct dribbling style constantly forces defenders and midfielders into making last-ditch challenges. The youngster is excellent at drawing fouls in dangerous areas. Mané has drawn eight opposition yellow cards this season in just 1,200 minutes, which works out at a card every 120 minutes from players trying to stop him. Yarmoliuk could be in the firing line and is 7/2 with Sky Bet to be carded.
